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Hello and welcome to the working week.
Let the video games start. No, not the acrimonious tussle between the remaining two candidates in the Conservative social gathering’s management election — though you’ll be able to watch that on the BBC on Monday. This week is the begin of the Commonwealth Games in the UK’s second-largest metropolis, Birmingham.
The opening day of the worldwide sports activities fest can be marred by that different massive occasion of the 2022 British summer season: industrial action. The RMT will stage the newest in its collection of walkouts over pay ranges for rail trade staff on Wednesday, the similar day that Aslef — representing practice drivers — counts the votes in its strike poll over members’ pay awards. The unrest continues to unfold, with telecoms engineers and port staff both hanging or balloting for industrial action over pay.
Across the Channel, vitality ministers from EU member states will this week meet in Brussels to determine measures to finish the European reliance on Russian gasoline provides. The prospects are usually not good, based on Europe Express e-newsletter author Valentina Pop. On Sunday, President Vladimir Putin can have his alternative to grandstand as Navy Fleet Day is well known in port cities throughout Russia.
If that’s all too miserable, then maybe it’s price celebrating the prospect of additional vital compensation for the British postmasters made to endure due to the defective Horizon pc system. Former Supreme Court choose Lord John Dyson is anticipated to make an announcement on the remaining settlement for victims of the IT scandal following the authorities’s announcement of an interim cost totalling £19.5mn in June.
The choose of the election information this week is Tunisia’s vote on a brand new structure. Politicians and analysts say there may be little doubt that the constitution, drawn up by populist chief Kais Saied, can be adopted even when they count on a low turnout.
Next Sunday, my colleague Georgina Quach can be shepherding The Week Ahead rundown whereas I take just a few days off. I’ll be again with you at the starting of August.
Thank you for your messages about this article. Please maintain them coming, to jonathan.moules@ft.com, or hit reply to this e mail.
Economic knowledge
All eyes can be on Washington on Wednesday for the Federal Reserve’s newest rate of interest announcement. Expectations are for a tightening of the financial coverage equipment with a 75 foundation level enhance. At least one senior Fed governor would love the Federal Open Market Committee to go even additional.
Then we’ll get the knowledge on progress — did somebody point out recession — with quarterly GDP figures for the US, Canada, France, Germany and the mass of eurozone nations.
Companies
We’ve hit peak earnings season with an A to Z (or a minimum of X) of firm names — ironic provided that Tuesday’s checklist consists of Alphabet.
The destructive influence of the robust greenback has been seen throughout a variety of US earnings calls this quarter. It is anticipated to floor as a difficulty once more with a clutch of outcomes bulletins from Silicon Valley tech corporations, which have a few of the highest percentages of income from abroad.
Microsoft, which experiences on Tuesday, has already lower its steering primarily based on the greenback, and Morgan Stanley issued a observe final week saying the greenback might result in disappointing steering from Apple when it reveals its numbers on Thursday.
Attention may also be centered on the client items trade with Unilever, Danone, Procter & Gamble, Reckitt Benckiser, Nestlé and Mondelēz all reporting this week. The concern amongst analysts is that consumers are tightening their belts, selecting low-cost own-label grocery store merchandise over multinational manufacturers. The resolution by Unilever and others to boost their costs has not made the state of affairs any simpler.
Key financial and firm experiences
Here is a extra full checklist of what to anticipate when it comes to firm experiences and financial knowledge this week.
Monday
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Germany, IFO enterprise confidence index
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UK, CBI quarterly traits survey
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Results: Kuehne+Nagel H1, Philips Q2, Ryanair Q1
Tuesday
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Japan, Bank of Japan points minutes of its newest financial coverage assembly
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US, June residential gross sales figures plus client confidence knowledge
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Results: 3M Q2, Alphabet Q2, Coca-Cola Q2, Dassault Systemes H1, Drax Group H1, easyJet Q3 buying and selling replace, Games Workshop FY, General Electric Q2, General Motors Q2, Heathrow airport H1, LVMH H1, McDonald’s Q2, Michelin H1, Microsoft This autumn, Mitie Q1 buying and selling replace, Mondelēz International Q2, Moody’s Q2, Randstad Q2, Raytheon Q2, Rémy Cointreau Q1 gross sales replace, Texas Instruments Q2, UBS Q1, Unilever H1, United Parcel Service Q2, Valeo H1, Visa Q3, Xerox Q2
Wednesday
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Germany, GfK client confidence index
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UK, British Retail Consortium and Nielsen month-to-month store value index plus Office for National Statistics quarterly figures for profitability of British corporations
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US, Federal Open Market Committee makes rate of interest announcement with officers signalling a 75 foundation level rise
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Results: Airbus H1, BASF Q2, Boeing Q2, Breedon H1, Bristol Myers Squibb Q2, British American Tobacco H1, Carrefour Q2, Credit Suisse Q2, Danone H1, Deutsche Bank Q2, Deutsche Börse Q2, Equinor Q2, Ford Motor Q2, GlaxoSmithKline Q2, Holcim H1, Iberdrola H1, Kering H1, Kraft Heinz Q2, Lloyds Banking Group H1, Mercedes-Benz Q2, Meta Q2, Millennium BCP Q2, Mitsubishi Motors Q1, Paragon Banking Group Q3 buying and selling replace, Puma Q2, Qualcomm Q3, Rio Tinto H1, Smurfit Kappa H1, Spotify Q2, T-Mobile Q2, UniCredit H1
Thursday
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France, client confidence figures
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Germany, preliminary client value index knowledge
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UK, Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders month-to-month automobile and engine manufacturing figures, quarterly firm incorporation knowledge plus British Film Institute breakdown of the quantity and spend of UK produced movies in Q2
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US, Q2 GDP (superior estimate)
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Results: Amazon Q2, Anglo American H1, Apple Q3, ArcelorMittal Q2, BAE Systems H1, Banco Santander H1, Barclays H1, BT Group Q1, Centrica H1, CMC Markets Q1 buying and selling replace, Co-operative Bank H1, Comcast Q2, CVS Group buying and selling replace, Diageo FY, Enel H1, Hammerson H1, Harley-Davidson Q2, Intel Q2, ITV H1, JCDecaux H1, L’Oréal H1, Leonardo H1, Mastercard Q2, Merck & Co Q2, Nestlé H1, Nissan Motor Q1, Northrop Grumman Q2, OMV Q2, Orange H1, Panasonic Q1, Pfizer Q2, Relx H1, Rentokil Initial H1, Repsol Q2, Royal Dutch Shell Q2, Samsung Q2, Sanofi-Aventis Q2, Schroders H1, Segro H1, Smith & Nephew H1, St James’s Place Wealth Management H1, Stellantis H1, STMicroelectronics Q2, Total H1, Verisign Q2, Vivendi H1, Volkswagen H1, Weir Group H1
Friday
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Canada, May GDP figures
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EU, flash eurozone Q2 GDP figures plus flash month-to-month eurozone inflation estimate
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France, preliminary Q2 GDP figures plus client value index (CPI) and producer value index (PPI) knowledge
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Germany, July labour market figures and flash Q2 GDP knowledge
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Italy, CPI and PPI knowledge
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Japan, month-to-month unemployment price, June retail gross sales figures plus preliminary June industrial manufacturing knowledge
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Mexico, Q2 GDP figures
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Results: AbbVie Q2, Air France-KLM H1, Aon Q2, AstraZeneca H1, Audi H1, BBVA Q2, BNP Paribas Q2, Chevron Q2, Colgate-Palmolive Q2, Croda International H1, Daiwa Securities Group Q1, Eni Q2, ExxonMobil Q2, Glencore H1 manufacturing report, IAG Q2, IMI H1, Intertek Group H1, Mediobanca Q2, NatWest H1, Procter & Gamble This autumn, Renault H1, Sony Q1, Swiss Re H1
World occasions
Finally, here’s a rundown of different occasions and milestones this week.
Monday
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Philippines, newly elected president Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr delivers his first State of the Nation tackle. He has promised to “sweat” on Filipinos’ behalf.
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Spain, Galicia marks the Day of Galicia (Dia Nacional de Galicia), devoted to the autonomous area’s patron saint James
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Switzerland, a particular assembly of the basic council of the World Trade Organization in Geneva
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Taiwan, the military will stage the Han Kuang actual artillery train, the nation’s most vital annual warfare video games
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Tunisia, nationwide referendum vote on a brand new structure that will significantly enhance the powers of the president
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UK, the BBC hosts a dwell TV debate between Rishi Sunak and Liz Truss, the remaining two candidates in the Conservative social gathering management race. Also, the Unite union will poll tons of of dockworkers in Liverpool at certainly one of Britain’s largest container ports for strike action.
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US, the eleventh International Space Station Research and Development Conference begins at the Omni Shoreham Hotel in Washington
Tuesday
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Asalha Puja, commemorating Buddha’s first sermon in the Deer Park in Benares, is marked by Buddhists
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Cuba, Revolution Day commemorating the armed revolt by Fidel Castro and his allies in opposition to the navy dictatorship of Fulgencio Batista
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EU, a rare assembly of the bloc’s vitality ministers takes place in Brussels with the goal of making a bundle of measures to safe gasoline provides following the Russian invasion of Ukraine
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UK, GMB union in Scotland closes a strike poll amongst nearly 10,000 council staff for industrial action this summer season in a dispute over pay. The Lambeth Conference, the as soon as each decade assembly of Anglican bishops, begins in London and Canterbury. Also, Glorious Goodwood, certainly one of the highlights of the British horseracing season, begins at the Goodwood racecourse close to Chichester.
Wednesday
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Korea, anniversary of the armistice in the 1950-53 Korean warfare, celebrated in North Korea as its “victory”
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UK, Aslef union strike poll closes for practice drivers at the rail corporations Avanti West Coast and CrossCountry. On the similar day, in a separate dispute over pay, rail staff in the RMT union will stroll out.
Thursday
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England, the twenty second Commonwealth Games begins in Birmingham
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Russia, authorized proceedings in opposition to WhatsApp and Snapchat will happen in Moscow concerning the tech corporations’ repeated refusal to localise the knowledge of Russians. WhatsApp faces a fantastic of as much as Rbs18mn ($309,000), whereas Snap, the proprietor of the Snapchat app, faces fines of as much as Rbs6mn.
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UK, the newest extension by the Westminster authorities to Transport for London’s short-term post-lockdown funding deal extension expires. Also, NHS Digital is to publish its feminine genital mutilation April 2020 to March 2022 report.
Friday
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Islamic New Year (Al-Hijra) 1444 begins
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UK, members of the Communication Workers Union employed by BT and Openreach are set to strike for 24 hours in a row over pay. A strike by the staff can be scheduled for subsequent Monday.
Saturday
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France, freeway authorities warn of “Black Saturday” congestion on French roads attributable to folks starting and coming back from holidays
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UK, Aslef practice drivers at eight rail corporations will strike in a dispute over pay. Also, the crusing regatta Cowes Week begins on the Isle of Wight and the National Eisteddfod, the largest and oldest celebration of Welsh tradition, begins in the historical market city of Tregaron.
Sunday
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Cambodia, the fifty fifth Asean ministerial assembly begins in Siem Reap
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Russia, the nationwide vacation Navy Fleet Day with occasions in port cities. President Vladimir Putin is anticipated to attend a parade in St Petersburg.
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Senegal, parliamentary elections to determine the 165 members of the National Assembly
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Singapore, the New Cities Foundation hosts the New Cities Summit 2022
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UK, the newly shaped Ukrainian Freedom Orchestra, together with refugees from the war-torn nation, will perform at the Proms music pageant in London. Plus, the remaining of the Uefa Women’s Euro 2022 soccer competitors takes place at Wembley Stadium in London.