Australian Dollar Eyes PBOC Rate Cuts Amid Protracted China Power Woes


Australian Dollar, AUD/USD, China, PBOC, Rates, Technical Outlook – TALKING POINTS

  • APAC markets set to open the week on shaky floor after China extends energy cuts
  • The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) is predicted to slash two key lending charges
  • AUD/USD’s technical posture factors to extra losses after a giant 3.5% weekly drop

Asia-Pacific markets look weak after Wall Street merchants closed the week on the again foot, with equity losses accelerating on Friday in New York. The benchmark S&P 500 fell 1.21%, and the high-beta Nasdaq-100 (NDX) closed 2.38% decrease. A lot of choices, round $2 trillion value, expired on Friday, seemingly bolstering volatility.

Sichuan province, certainly one of China’s most populous, prolonged energy rationing throughout the area amid excessive warmth and drought. Factories and different industrial crops are to stay closed till August 25, extending the unique order by 5 days. The protracted business shutdown will seemingly add to the financial headwinds from sporadic Covid lockdowns and will even reverse some progress made on congested provide chains.

According to a Bloomberg survey, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) is predicted to chop its 1- and 5-year mortgage prime charges right now. Credit development has been lackluster not too long ago, seemingly underpinning the central financial institution’s dedication to easing coverage. The PBOC unexpectedly reduce a number of different lending charges final week. China’s property sector is one other drawback nonetheless looming over the financial powerhouse. AUD/USD fell 3.5% final week. Currency merchants elevated their web brief place on AUD, in keeping with the newest CFTC information.

An eight-day strike on the United Kingdom’s Felixstowe port began on Sunday, threatening to inflict additional harm on international provide chains and including to Europe’s value pressures. PMI readings for the United Kingdom’s providers and manufacturing sectors are due. Analysts anticipate to see each gauges stay in enlargement for July however fall from the prior month.

AUD/USD Technical Outlook

AUD/USD’s technical positioning doesn’t provide an optimistic view. The currency pair set a recent August low final week, though the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement degree supplied some assist however solely after an already massive transfer. The 50-day Simple Moving Average was damaged shortly after RSI crossed under its midpoint. The MACD oscillator can be on monitor to cross under its personal midpoint, one other bearish signal.

AUD/USD Daily Chart

Chart created with TradingView

— Written by Thomas Westwater, Analyst for

To contact Thomas, use the feedback part under or @FxWestwater on Twitter

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