Market Rally Not Finished Yet; Five Growth Stocks To Watch As Tesla, Nvidia Tumble


Dow Jones futures will open on Monday night, together with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures, after the lengthy Christmas weekend. Tesla Shanghai halted manufacturing whereas China rival Nio (NIO) unveiled new fashions.


The stock market rally had one other troublesome week, however did bounce from Thursday’s lows. The main indexes have been combined final week, however many main shares got here underneath additional stress. The market rally is trying shaky however is not completed but.

It’s not a great time to be shopping for shares, particularly development names. But buyers ought to all the time be on the lookout for potential development leaders for the following sustained market rally. Shift4Payments (FOUR), Celsius (CELH), Impinj (PI), Enphase Energy (ENPH) and Box (BOX) are holding up comparatively properly within the present weak market. FOUR stock and Box are consolidating close to current highs, whereas Impinj, Celsius and ENPH stock are buying and selling across the 50-day or 10-week traces. None are actionable proper now, and all might buckle if the market continues to weaken. But keep watch over them.

ENPH stock is on IBD Leaderboard, with PI stock on the Leaderboard watchlist. Enphase, Shift4Payments, Box and CELH stock are on the IBD 50. ENPH stock is also on the IBD Big Cap 20. Shift4Payments was Friday’s IBD Stock Of The Day.

But development megacaps had a tough outing, notably Apple (AAPL), Nvidia (NVDA) and Tesla (TSLA).

Nio Day 2022

Finally, Tesla China rival Nio (NIO) is holding its Nio Day 2022 on Saturday. It unveiled the EC7 coupe SUV, a possible Tesla Model Y competitor. Nio additionally unveiled a revamped ES8 SUV, now on the NT 2.0 platform like its all-new fashions. It’ll go on sale in June 2023.

Nio additionally introduced next-generation battery swap stations and charging choices.

Nio manufacturing is ramping up with robust demand for its newer ET5 sedan and ES7 crossover SUV. But easing Covid guidelines could also be triggering an enormous wave of infections, and Nio and different China EV makers might face manufacturing or supply-chain hiccups once more. EV big BYD (BYDDF) stated this week that Covid circumstances amongst employees is chopping manufacturing by 2,000-3,000 automobiles per day.

Nio stock fell 5.4% final week, again under the 50-day line. Shares are properly under the 200-day line.

Tesla Shanghai Production Halted

Tesla Shanghai halted manufacturing on Dec. 24, with employees set to return Jan. 1, 2023. A year-end manufacturing halt had been extensively reported in current weeks, however denied by the EV big. Shanghai had already slowed output earlier within the month, with inventories increase quickly regardless of a late October value minimize and substantial year-end incentives.

Last week, Tesla stock dived 18% to 123.15 after plunging 16.1% within the prior week. Those are the worst weekly losses for the reason that March 2020 Covid crash. TSLA stock is at a 27-month low, down 70% from the November 2021 peak.

Dow Jones Futures Today

With Christmas falling on Sunday, U.S. stock and bond markets can be closed Monday, together with many exchanges all over the world.

Dow Jones futures open at 6 p.m. ET on Monday, together with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures.

Remember that in a single day motion in Dow futures and elsewhere does not essentially translate into precise buying and selling within the subsequent common stock market session.

Join IBD experts as they analyze actionable stocks in the stock market rally on IBD Live

Stock Market Rally

The stock market rally fell solidly through the week, however did end off the worst ranges of the week.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.9% in final week’s stock market buying and selling. The S&P 500 index dipped 0.2%. The Nasdaq composite sank 1.9%. The small-cap Russell 2000 completed simply above break-even.

Apple stock fell 2% to 131.86 previously week. It’s testing its June bear-market low of 129.04, sliding to 129.64 Friday morning.

Nvidia stock tumbled 8.2% to 152.06, following a nasty reversal again under the 200-day line within the prior week, amid a broad chip sell-off. NVDA stock did discover help on the 50-day line on Friday.

The 10-year Treasury yield jumped 27 foundation factors to three.75%. The inverse relationship between Treasury yields and stock costs has pale previously a number of weeks.

U.S. crude oil futures jumped 6.9% to $79.56 a barrel through the week, briefly topping $80 on Friday.

Tesla Buckles Up For A Very Interesting 2023


Among one of the best ETFs, the Innovator IBD 50 ETF (FFTY) edged down 0.3% final week, whereas the Innovator IBD Breakout Opportunities ETF (BOUT) rose 0.7%. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) fell 1.8%. The VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) tumbled 4.7%, with NVDA stock a serious SMH holding.

SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME) rose 1.6% final week. The Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF (PAVE) edged up 0.75%. U.S. Global Jets ETF (JETS) descended 1.3%. SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) declined 1.25%. The Energy Select SPDR ETF (XLE) bounced 3.2% and the Financial Select SPDR ETF (XLF) edged up 0.8%. The Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV) nudged 0.4% larger.

Reflecting more-speculative story shares, ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) tumbled 6.9%, hitting a brand new five-year low on Thursday. ARK Genomics ETF (ARKG) skidded 5.6% final week. Tesla stock stays a high holding throughout Ark Invest’s ETFs.

Five Best Chinese Stocks To Watch Now

Growth Stocks To Watch

Shift4Payments stock rose 4.1% to 54.06 final week. FOUR stock has had wild swings, however has tightened up previously couple of weeks close to seven-month highs. The relative energy line is at its highest degree in eight months, reflecting Shift4’s outperformance vs. the S&P 500 index. Still, FOUR stock does not have a transparent purchase level proper now.

Shift4 earnings and gross sales development accelerated within the newest quarter, with the corporate considerably increasing its goal markets.

CELH stock fell 1.85% to 106.79 final week, consolidating just under the 21-day line and approaching the 10-week line. Celsius stock briefly topped a 118.29 cup-base purchase level earlier this month earlier than pulling again. But that is let the 10-week line catch up, whereas the RS line has held close to highs. A powerful rebound from the 10-week line and above the 21-day line would additionally break a brief downtrend, providing an early entry for CELH stock.

Celsius has booming gross sales development and may see robust earnings in 2023, however the energy-drink maker has a caffeinated valuation.

Impinj stock rose 4 cents to 111.87, with Friday’s 2.9% decline bringing it right down to the 50-day and 10-week traces for the primary time since a strong earnings gap-up breakout on Oct. 27. PI stock has pulled again modestly for 4 straight weeks from report highs, however its RS line has barely fallen. A bullish bounce from the 50-day line would supply an early purchase level.

Impinj earnings have soared in 2022, with sturdy good points seen subsequent 12 months.

Enphase stock slumped 3.1% to 293.95 final week, under the 50-day line. A 316.97 purchase level from a cup-with-handle purchase level is not legitimate. The always-volatile ENPH stock could also be a number of weeks into a brand new consolidation. A bullish transfer from the 50-day line — maybe retaking the outdated purchase level — might supply an aggressive entry.

Enphase earnings and income development is ramping up quick, with strong development seen in 2023 and past with photo voltaic incentives in place for years to come back.

Box stock traded tightly the previous couple of weeks, dipping 0.7% to 31.01. The cloud-based knowledge storage agency is on the fringe of a purchase zone from a 29.57 cup-with-handle purchase level, based on MarketSmith analysis, following a Dec. 12 breakout. The current pause may very well be seen as a deal with to an eight-month consolidation. That purchase level is 31.10, however buyers might search for an early entry. Ideally, the 21-day line would catch up and the 50-day line would chop the hole with Box stock.

Box earnings development has accelerated for the previous two quarters.

Market Rally Analysis

The stock market rally stays underneath heavy stress. The main indexes have been combined for the week, not bouncing again after the prior week’s huge, ugly outdoors week.

The Dow Jones rose modestly for the week after testing its 50-day line a number of instances.

The S&P 500 fell modestly, however that masked some huge swings through the week. The benchmark index simply reclaimed its 50-day shifting common on Wednesday. On Thursday, the S&P 500 and different main indexes fell to their worst ranges in weeks, however did shut off lows.

On Friday, the S&P 500 rose barely, however under its 50-day line. The Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP), with much less weight to tech titans resembling Apple, rallied Friday to only reclaim its 50-day.

The Nasdaq was the massive laggard, with Tesla stock and Nvidia among the many notable laggards. But there was broad weak spot for development shares, particularly amongst chip names following weak outcomes and steerage from memory-chip maker Micron Technology (MU).

The S&P 500 must regain the 50-day line, however that will be only a first step.

It’s unclear if the market will rebound, tumble towards bear lows or transfer sideways in a uneven trend for an prolonged interval. The latter could also be extra probably till there’s some readability over when and the place the Fed will cease climbing charges, and whether or not the financial system will slip right into a clear-cut recession.

While development shares resembling Enphase and Celsius are price watching, many medical shares and different defensive development performs are holding up. Metal and mining, industrial, housing and a few vitality performs are doing comparatively properly.

Time The Market With IBD’s ETF Market Strategy

What To Do Now

The stock market feinted larger and decrease through the week, with the technical image not altering dramatically. Aside from the Dow Jones, the most important indexes are under key shifting averages. Leading shares have been arduous to carry, at finest.

Investors ought to have minimal publicity and be cautious of including new positions. Don’t get excited by a powerful open or perhaps a bullish session or two.

Keep your watchlists recent. Numerous shares from quite a lot of sectors are establishing or setting as much as arrange. Some names are displaying robust relative energy however haven’t got a transparent purchase level. That’s OK proper now.

Meanwhile, spend a while reviewing your trades over the previous 12 months, together with your huge winners and losers, and the trades you did not make however want you had. Were you following your guidelines, and have been your guidelines sound?

Read The Big Picture day by day to remain in sync with the market course and main shares and sectors.

Please comply with Ed Carson on Twitter at @IBD_ECarson for stock market updates and extra.


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